Group F

Netherlands v Japan

Kickoff: Jun 14, 2026, 4:00 PM ET· AT&T Stadium, Dallas· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F

Netherlands v Japan

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.55 / 0.45

Recent form

0.72 / 0.72

Expected goals

0.60 / 0.53

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.67

Win probability

43%

26%

32%

NEDDrawJPN

vs market

47%

27%

26%

NEDDrawJPN

Edge detectedJPN +5.6 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

NED to win

IQ67

Our model43%

The market47%

Market above model-4.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2000Baseline rating1900

72%Form72%

1.8Attack1.6

1.0Defense1.0

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister 提供分析与教育，而非投注建议或保证结果。