Group K

Portugal v DR Congo

Kickoff: Jun 17, 2026, 1:00 PM ET· NRG Stadium, Houston· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group K

Portugal v DR Congo

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.63 / 0.37

Recent form

0.74 / 0.60

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.40

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.57

Win probability

66%

20%

14%

PORDrawCOD

vs market

74%

17%

PORDrawCOD

Edge detectedCOD +5.3 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

POR to win

IQ73

Our model66%

The market74%

Market above model-7.7 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2010Baseline rating1760

74%Form60%

1.9Attack1.2

1.0Defense1.3

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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