Group G

Iran v New Zealand

Kickoff: Jun 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET· SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group G

Iran v New Zealand

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.59 / 0.41

Recent form

0.60 / 0.54

Expected goals

0.40 / 0.33

Defensive solidity

0.60 / 0.50

Win probability

50%

27%

23%

IRNDrawNZL

vs market

52%

28%

21%

IRNDrawNZL

Edge detectedNZL +2.3 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

IRN to win

IQ61

Our model50%

The market52%

Market above model-1.8 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1810Baseline rating1690

60%Form54%

1.2Attack1.0

1.2Defense1.5

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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