Group L

Croatia v Ghana

Kickoff: Jun 27, 2026, 5:00 PM ET· Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group L

Croatia v Ghana

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.58 / 0.42

Recent form

0.66 / 0.60

Expected goals

0.50 / 0.40

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.57

Win probability

52%

25%

23%

CRODrawGHA

vs market

57%

25%

18%

CRODrawGHA

Edge detectedGHA +5.3 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

CRO to win

IQ69

Our model52%

The market57%

Market above model-5.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1930Baseline rating1780

66%Form60%

1.5Attack1.2

1.1Defense1.3

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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