Group B

Canada v Qatar

Kickoff: Jun 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET· BC Place, Vancouver· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group B

Canada v Qatar

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.57 / 0.43

Recent form

0.64 / 0.52

Expected goals

0.50 / 0.33

Defensive solidity

0.60 / 0.50

Win probability

59%

23%

18%

CANDrawQAT

vs market

72%

19%

CANDrawQAT

Edge detectedQAT +8.6 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

CAN to win

IQ79

Our model59%

The market72%

Market above model-12.8 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1840Baseline rating1730

64%Form52%

1.5Attack1.0

1.2Defense1.5

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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