Lemeister Media
Football, read through the model.
Lemeisterの社内フットボールデスク。ライターはモデル、アーカイブ、ライブシグナルを通じて試合を取材します。すべての数字はLemeisterのデータに基づいています。分析と教育であり、ベッティングアドバイスではありません。
デスク
Vera Sett @numbersdesk
England
Numbers Desk. Every match read through the model.
Rufus Okonkwo @thearchivist
Nigeria
The Archivist. History is never really over.
Nadia Byrne @thetactician
Ireland
The Tactician. Where the game is won and lost.
Sol Vantage @thechronicle
Italy
The Chronicle. The story of the ninety minutes.
Kit Vayne @thecontrarian
Netherlands
The Contrarian. Where the model and the crowd disagree.
Kwame Mensah @thecontinental
Ghana
The Continental. African football, read on its own terms.
Núria Castell @thestylist
Spain
The Stylist. Where possession becomes control.
Faisal Al-Harbi @theemergent
Saudi Arabia
The Emerging Game. The money, the moves, the new powers.
Rowan Boucher @thenewworld
Canada
The New World. Football's fastest-growing frontier.
Rafael Duarte @thejogo
Brazil
The Artist. The beautiful game, played beautifully.
最新
Lemeister DeskBreaking· 1 min readEriksen leaves Wolfsburg by mutual consent
Christian Eriksen has left Wolfsburg by mutual consent. The club confirmed the exit just over three months after the midfielder collapsed du
Alaba passes medical and closes in on Udinese move
David Alaba has passed his medical in Rome and is now heading north to finalise a move to Udinese. The defender is 34 and arrives as a free
· Serie A
1 minJuventus say Grabara has ACL surgery after injury
Juventus have confirmed that goalkeeper Kamil Grabara had surgery today to reconstruct his anterior cruciate ligament. The club says the ope
· Serie A
1 minArsenal teenager leaves for Premier League rival a year after joining
An Arsenal teenager has joined a Premier League rival, a year after Arsenal signed him from an EFL club. talkSPORT has the story. The player
· Premier League
1 minMan United accounts show cost of managerial sackings
Manchester United's end-of-year financial results have put a number on the club's recent managerial churn. The accounts set out what the cha
Parma defender Drobnic has surgery after fracture
Parma have confirmed that defender Dominik Drobnic has had successful surgery. The club says he suffered a fracture. No timescale has been g
Neto agrees Juventus deal to June 2027
Neto is set to join Juventus as a free agent. Multiple reports say the goalkeeper has agreed a contract that runs to June 2027. He was witho
· Serie A
1 minAustria Are Favourites, But The Model Sees Something The Bookies Don't
A 51 percent home win probability sounds comfortable until you notice the market has Austria at 66, and that gap is the most interesting thing about this fixture.
Austria v Israel · UEFA Nations League
7 minPortugal Are Not the 78 Percent Team the Market Thinks They Are
The bookmakers have already hung the bunting. Lemeister's model has quietly walked out of the party.
Portugal v Wales · UEFA Nations League
9 minGreece Arrive in Belgrade With a Shape That Fits the Night
A back three against a lone striker, a midfield four that has to survive the first half hour, and a forecast that quietly favours the visitors.
Serbia v Greece · UEFA Nations League
7 minMan United saved millions after Ruben Amorim joined AC Milan
Manchester United avoided paying a large chunk of money when Ruben Amorim left for AC Milan, with the cost of sacking him now out in the ope
Manchester United v AC Milan
1 minSassuolo and Puma launch new third kit for 2026/27
Sassuolo have put out their third kit for the 2026/27 season, made by Puma. The club showed off the new shirt alongside the manufacturer, wi
Conte linked as favourite for Man United job
Reports in Italy say Antonio Conte is the leading candidate to take over at Manchester United if Michael Carrick loses the job. Nothing has
Manchester United v Chelsea · Premier League
1 minBalerdi says he turned down Boca to join Roma
Leonardo Balerdi says he turned down an approach from Boca Juniors to sign for Roma. The defender said Boca offered him the captaincy, but h
Roma v Boca Juniors
1 minRoehrig signs promotional deal with Zuffa Boxing
Lucas Roehrig has signed a promotional deal with Zuffa Boxing. The cruiserweight will fight on Sky Sports as part of the agreement. Roehrig
Premier League panel agrees Arsenal were wrongly penalised
Arsenal have been told a penalty given against them this month should not have stood. The Premier League's independent panel reviewed the in
Arsenal v Sunderland · Premier League
1 minArteta agrees new long-term Arsenal deal
Mikel Arteta has agreed terms on a new long-term contract to stay on as Arsenal manager. Sources told ESPN the deal is done and the club is
Columbus Crew sack reserve coach Federico Higuaín over referee remark
Columbus Crew have sacked their reserve team coach Federico Higuaín. The club acted after he allegedly grabbed a female referee's hand and t
· MLS
1 minTen Men, Then Nine, Then Level: How Real Cartagena Held a 0-0 That Felt Like a Siege
Two red cards in twenty-four minutes should have broken Real Cartagena. Instead they turned a goalless night into something closer to a last stand.
Real Cartagena v Envigado · Primera B
6 minTwo From Kauan and a Night Cuiaba Finally Looked Whole
A stubborn Nautico side held their shape for half an hour, then Lorenzo Silva Martins cracked it open and Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo slammed the door twice in eleven second-half minutes.
Cuiaba v Nautico Recife · Serie B
7 minLanus Ride the Storm as Ten-Man Estudiantes Run Out of Road
A two-goal lead, a late scare and a red card that reshaped the night: Lanus hold on at the Fortaleza.
Lanus v Estudiantes L.P. · Liga Profesional Argentina
7 minPortugal Are Not Seventy-Eight Per Cent Of Anything
The market has already written Wales off. The model has other ideas, and the gap between the two is the most interesting thing about this fixture.
Portugal v Wales · UEFA Nations League
6 minThe Market Has Serbia Ten Points Too High
Lemeister's model sees a Greece side the bookmakers are still undercharging, and the gap is the widest on the card.
Serbia v Greece · UEFA Nations League
8 minTwo Heavyweights, One Unforgiving Table
The Nations League has spent years pretending to be a friendly tournament with a trophy attached, and the Netherlands against Germany is exactly the fixture that keeps exposing the lie.
Netherlands v Germany · UEFA Nations League
8 minTwo Nations, One Long Wait for a Quiet Ledger to Speak Up
Andorra and Malta have spent decades losing beautifully to bigger nations. On Thursday, one of them has to do something far harder: win a match the archive says is a coin toss.
Andorra v Malta · UEFA Nations League
8 minThe Model Says Salt Lake, The Market Says Seattle, And Fifteen Points Is A Chasm
Lemeister gives Real Salt Lake a 40% chance of winning in Seattle. The betting world gives them 25. Somebody is badly wrong, and the gap is the story.
Seattle Sounders v Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
8 minColumbus Crew sack reserve coach over referee remark
Columbus Crew have sacked their reserve team coach. The club acted after he refused to let go of a female referee's hand and told her "don't
· MLS
1 minArteta set to extend Arsenal stay as injury blow hits
Mikel Arteta is set to extend his time as Arsenal boss, with reports saying he has agreed a new deal. The news comes alongside a fresh injur
Rooney: Gabriel exit wish no shock at Man United
Wayne Rooney says JJ Gabriel wanting to leave Manchester United comes as no surprise. Speaking on talkSPORT, the former United captain said
Arteta agrees new Arsenal contract
Mikel Arteta has agreed a new contract at Arsenal. The Spaniard is close to signing the deal, with the club rewarding him for his work since
· Premier League
1 minDe Bruyne says he never tried to leave Napoli
Kevin De Bruyne says he did not try to leave Napoli in the summer. The midfielder spoke about his first months at the club and admitted it h
Napoli v Manchester City · Serie A
1 minMikel Arteta agrees new Arsenal deal running to 2030
Mikel Arteta has agreed a long term extension with Arsenal. The new deal runs until 2030 and comes with a sizeable pay rise on the roughly 1
· Premier League
1 minArteta agrees new Arsenal contract
Mikel Arteta has agreed a new deal to stay on as Arsenal manager. Sky Sports reported the agreement on Tuesday, ending any doubt about his f
· Premier League
1 minTaylor Swift signs for 10th tier English club, scores on debut
A footballer named Taylor Swift has signed for a club in the 10th tier of the English pyramid, and has already scored a goal. This Taylor Sw
Tresoldi says Italy or Germany call is 50:50
Nicolo Tresoldi has not picked yet. The striker says his choice between Italy and Germany is 50:50, and he has now said when he will settle
Italy v Germany
1 minArteta agrees new Arsenal deal
Mikel Arteta has agreed a new contract with Arsenal, according to a report from The 42. He took over in 2019 and has since lifted the club b
Shortan Turn a Tricky Away Day Into a Statement
Four goals, four different scorers and a penalty at the death, Shortan did not just beat Pakhtakor II, they dismantled the idea that this would be a contest.
Pakhtakor II v Shortan · Pro League A
8 minThe Model Says Uxbridge, And That Should Make Farnborough Sit Up
A 45 per cent away forecast for a September cup tie is not a throwaway line, it is the sound of a lower-league form book being read without sentiment.
Farnborough v Uxbridge · FA Cup
5 minThe Model Says Waltham Abbey. The Market Says Don't Be Silly
A thirty point gap between the price and the probability is the sort of thing that gets a model thrown out of the room, so let us sit with it a while.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Waltham Abbey · FA Cup
9 minThe Weight of a Number: Why Crowborough's 44 Per Cent Is the Least Convincing Edge in Football
The Lemeister model says Crowborough Athletic are favourites. The Conviction score says it barely believes itself, and that gap is where the real story of this FA Cup night lives.
Crowborough Athletic v Hampton & Richmond · FA Cup
8 min