v1 बनाम v2
v2 एक समय-क्षयित, प्रतिद्वंद्वी-समायोजित रेटिंग इंजन है, जो यहां बाकी सब कुछ के समान वॉक-फॉरवर्ड अनुशासन के माध्यम से बनाया और गेट किया गया है। यह लाइव नहीं है — आज साइट पर हर पूर्वानुमान v1 से आता है। यह पृष्ठ v2 के स्वयं के परीक्षण का रिकॉर्ड है, जो उस परिवर्तन पर कोई निर्णय लेने से पहले प्रकाशित किया गया है।
← पूर्ण ट्रैक रिकॉर्ड पर लौटेंWalk-forward backtest (simulated)
v1 (live)
0.633 +2.08%
265,477 settled
v2 (banked)
0.616 +5.34%
50,492 settled
What each model version would have scored on history, forecasting each match using only results that existed before it. This is slice 1's own gate result — v2 is a time-decayed, opponent-adjusted Dixon-Coles rating engine; v1 is the model as it stood when the improvement program began.
Live forecasts
v1 (live)
0.621 +3.91%
2,094 settled
v2 (banked)
No settled forecasts yet.
Real pre-match snapshots, settled against the result and never edited afterwards. v1 is the live model everyone sees today. v2 accrues its own real forecasts here — banked for research, not shown to users — so its live record can be judged before any decision to ship it.
2026-06-11 to 2026-08-20
v2 is not live: every prediction on the site today comes from v1. This page exists so v2's record — backtest and, as it accrues, live — is visible before any decision to change that, the same glass-box standard applied to everything else here.
लीग के अनुसार — बैकटेस्ट
| League | v1 skill↓ | v2 skill↓ | Δ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies Clubs | +1.3% | -6.8% | -8.1% |
| Copa Sudamericana | -2.1% | +0.1% | +2.2% |
| Colombia Primera A | -3.6% | -0.6% | +3.0% |
| Austrian Bundesliga | +2.8% | +9.7% | +7.0% |
| Copa Libertadores | -5.8% | +4.6% | +10.4% |
| Argentina Primera Division | -2.2% | -0.4% | +1.7% |
| Scottish Premiership | +5.3% | +12.2% | +6.9% |
| G1 | +3.4% | +13.0% | +9.6% |
| B1 | +2.0% | +7.6% | +5.7% |
| Primeira Liga | +6.7% | +14.3% | +7.6% |
| Eredivisie | +4.7% | +11.5% | +6.8% |
| D2 | -1.1% | +1.1% | +2.2% |
| T1 | +1.7% | +6.3% | +4.7% |
| Bundesliga | +2.8% | +7.4% | +4.7% |
| F2 | -2.1% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| Ligue 1 | +1.3% | +7.4% | +6.1% |
| La Liga | +1.5% | +7.5% | +6.0% |
| Serie A | +3.7% | +10.7% | +6.9% |
| I2 | -1.5% | +1.8% | +3.3% |
| Premier League | +3.3% | +9.3% | +6.0% |
| SP2 | -3.5% | -0.1% | +3.4% |
| E2 | +0.2% | +3.4% | +3.3% |
| E3 | -0.7% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| Championship | -0.8% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
ऐतिहासिक परिणामों पर वॉक-फॉरवर्ड, प्रति लीग बैकटेस्ट कौशल। v2 की संख्याएं अपने स्वयं के गेट से आती हैं; v1 की संख्याएं मॉडल के संग्रहीत रिकॉर्ड से। एक लीग जिसमें v1 या v2 संख्या गायब है, उसने अभी तक न्यूनतम नमूना (n=30) पार नहीं किया है।
v2
Time-decayed, opponent-adjusted Dixon-Coles ratings (365d half-life) + per-league fitted rho
Gate: pooled 3-class Brier old=0.6380 -> new=0.6162 (Δ=-0.0217), 22/24 leagues improved. Banked for accrual only (Phase 5) — not the live model. Re-derived edge gate + public comparison page + the live flip itself are separate, later steps.