Glossary
Key terms in sports intelligence, explained plainly.
Expected goals (xG)
The quality of a chance as a probability of scoring.
Closing line value (CLV)
Beating the final odds before a market closes.
Elo rating
A rolling strength rating updated after each result.
Moneyline
A bet on the outright winner.
Handicap
A market that levels two unequal sides.
Prediction market
A market where prices reflect the probability of an event.
Vigorish (vig)
The operator's built-in margin.
Edge
The gap between model probability and market probability.
Expected assists (xA)
The chance-creating value of a pass.
Shot map
A spatial plot of every shot in a match.
Momentum chart
A running view of which side is on top.
Win probability
The live chance each side has of winning.
Form
Recent results weighted toward the present.
Implied probability
The probability baked into a price.
Parlay
A single bet combining several outcomes.
Value bet
A price that beats the true probability.
Model versus market
Comparing a model's view to the price.
MeisterIQ score
A quotable zero to one hundred rating for a match.
Closing line
The final price before a market closes.
Overround
How much a book's prices exceed fair odds.