Group D

United States v Paraguay

Kickoff: Jun 12, 2026, 9:00 PM ET· SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group D

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.53 / 0.47

Recent form

0.68 / 0.64

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.43

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.63

Win probability

44%

27%

29%

USADrawPAR

vs market

49%

28%

23%

USADrawPAR

Edge detectedPAR +6.3 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

USA to win

IQ69

Our model44%

The market49%

Market above model-4.8 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1870Baseline rating1820

68%Form64%

1.6Attack1.3

1.1Defense1.1

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.