Group F

Netherlands v Sweden

Kickoff: Jun 20, 2026, 1:00 PM ET· NRG Stadium, Houston· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.59 / 0.41

Recent form

0.72 / 0.62

Expected goals

0.60 / 0.47

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.60

Win probability

56%

23%

21%

NEDDrawSWE

vs market

58%

24%

18%

NEDDrawSWE

Edge detectedSWE +3.0 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

NED to win

IQ64

Our model56%

The market58%

Market above model-2.3 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2000Baseline rating1820

72%Form62%

1.8Attack1.4

1.0Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.