Group A

Mexico v Korea Republic

Kickoff: Jun 18, 2026, 9:00 PM ET· Estadio Akron, Guadalajara· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group A

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.52 / 0.48

Recent form

0.66 / 0.62

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.47

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

45%

26%

29%

MEXDrawKOR

vs market

52%

27%

21%

MEXDrawKOR

Edge detectedKOR +8.7 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

MEX to win

IQ75

Our model45%

The market52%

Market above model-7.3 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1880Baseline rating1840

66%Form62%

1.6Attack1.4

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.