Group I

France v Senegal

Kickoff: Jun 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· MetLife Stadium, New York New Jersey· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I

France v Senegal

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.59 / 0.41

Recent form

0.74 / 0.66

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.47

Defensive solidity

0.70 / 0.63

Win probability

57%

23%

19%

FRADrawSEN

vs market

65%

22%

13%

FRADrawSEN

Edge detectedSEN +6.0 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

FRA to win

IQ72

Our model57%

The market65%

Market above model-7.5 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2060Baseline rating1850

74%Form66%

1.9Attack1.4

0.9Defense1.1

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.