United States v Bosnia and Herzegovina: the model read
United States meet Bosnia and Herzegovina in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32. The model makes United States the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 53% USA, 24% draw, 22% BIH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1870 to 1790, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans United States, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors United States on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Model score projection: most likely United States 1-0 Bosnia and Herzegovina, from expected goals of 1.7 to 1.0.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output