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Quarterfinal

Norway v England

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Norway v England: the model read

Norway meet England in the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal. The model makes England the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 23% NOR, 22% draw, 55% ENG.

England rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2040 to 1880. Recent form separates little, 70% against 72%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Norway 1-2 England, from expected goals of 1.1 to 1.9.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Model forecast

Lean: England · most likely NOR 12 ENG · confidence 55%

Model output from MeisterIQ — analytics and education, not betting advice.

FIFA ranking

NOR

#31

ENG

#4

FIFA/Coca-Cola Men's World Ranking, as of 11 June 2026 (static).

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Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.