Group A

Mexico v Korea Republic

Kickoff: Jun 18, 2026, 9:00 PM ET· Estadio Akron, Guadalajara· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group A

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.52 / 0.48

Recent form

0.66 / 0.62

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.47

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

45%

26%

29%

MEXDrawKOR

vs market

52%

27%

21%

MEXDrawKOR

Edge detectedKOR +8.7 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

MEX to win

IQ75

Our model45%

The market52%

Market above model-7.3 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1880Baseline rating1840

66%Form62%

1.6Attack1.4

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.