Ivory Coast v Norway

Ivory Coast meet Norway in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32. The model makes Norway the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 30% CIV, 24% draw, 46% NOR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1830 to 1880, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 70%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway, from expected goals of 1.3 to 1.6.

The market prices CIV at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on Ivory Coast: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.