Group E

Ecuador v Germany

Kickoff: Jun 25, 2026, 4:00 PM ET· MetLife Stadium, New York New Jersey· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group E

Ecuador v Germany

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.44 / 0.56

Recent form

0.66 / 0.70

Expected goals

0.47 / 0.63

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.63

Win probability

28%

25%

47%

ECUDrawGER

vs market

20%

25%

55%

ECUDrawGER

Edge detectedECU +8.6 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

ECU to win

IQ75

Our model28%

The market20%

Detected edge+8.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1860Baseline rating1990

66%Form70%

1.4Attack1.9

1.0Defense1.1

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.