Match analysisPre-match brief
Belgium v Senegal: the model read
Belgium meet Senegal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32 at Lumen Field, undefined. The model makes Belgium the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% BEL, 26% draw, 29% SEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1960 to 1850, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 66%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Model score projection: most likely Belgium 1-0 Senegal, from expected goals of 1.5 to 1.2.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output