Argentina v Egypt

Argentina meet Egypt in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 16. The model makes Argentina the most likely outcome at 67%, with the full read 67% ARG, 21% draw, 12% EGY.

Argentina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2100 to 1800. Recent form leans Argentina, 80% against 62%. Attacking output favors Argentina on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Argentina 1-0 Egypt, from expected goals of 1.9 to 0.7.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.