Group D

United States v Paraguay

Kickoff: Jun 12, 2026, 9:00 PM ET· SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group D

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.53 / 0.47

Recent form

0.68 / 0.64

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.43

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.63

Win probability

44%

27%

29%

USADrawPAR

vs market

49%

28%

23%

USADrawPAR

Edge detectedPAR +6.3 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

USA to win

IQ69

Our model44%

The market49%

Market above model-4.8 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1870Baseline rating1820

68%Form64%

1.6Attack1.3

1.1Defense1.1

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fornisce analisi e formazione, non consigli sulle scommesse né risultati garantiti.