Group E

Ecuador v Curaçao

Kickoff: Jun 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET· Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group E

Ecuador v Curaçao

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.65 / 0.35

Recent form

0.66 / 0.52

Expected goals

0.47 / 0.30

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.47

Win probability

67%

21%

ECUDrawCUW

vs market

79%

15%

ECUDrawCUW

Edge detectedDraw +6.9 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

ECU to win

IQ77

Our model67%

The market79%

Market above model-12.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1860Baseline rating1650

66%Form52%

1.4Attack0.9

1.0Defense1.6

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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